The welcome Daoud received on returning to power on July 17, 1973
reflected the citizenry's disappointment with the lackluster politics of
the preceding decade. King Zahir's "New Democracy" had promised much but
had delivered little. Daoud's comeback was a return to traditional
strongman rule and he was a particularly appealing figure to military
officers. As prime minister, Daoud had obtained large supplies of modern
arms from the Soviet Union and he had been a former army officer
himself. Also, his strong position on the Pashtunistan issue had not
been forgotten by conservative Pashtun officers.
Daoud discussed rebellion for more than a year with various
opposition elements--both moderates and leftists, including military
officers who were members of both the Khalqi and Parchami factions of
the PDPA. Certainly the communists had worked vigorously to undermine
Zahir Shah's experiment in constitutional democracy. Their inflammatory
speeches in parliament and organized street riots were tactics which
alarmed the king to the degree that he refused to sign the law
legalizing political parties. Karmal's Parcham faction became integrally
involved in planning the coup. There is general agreement that Daoud had
been meeting with what he called various "friends" for more than a year.
The coup itself was carried out by junior officers trained in the Soviet
Union. Some Afghans suspected that Daoud and Karmal had been in touch
for many years and that Daoud had used him as an informant on the
leftist movement. No strong link can be cited to support this, however,
other than the closeness between Karmal's father, an army general, and
Daoud. At the time of the July 1973 coup, which took place when the king
was in Italy receiving eye treatment at the medicinal mud baths at
Ischia, Italy, it was sometimes difficult to assess the factional and
party affiliation of the officers who took place. Despite a number of
conversions of Parchamis to the Khalqi faction by the time of the
communist coup of April 1978 which overthrew Daoud, both party and
factional loyalties became obvious after the PDPA took power.
Although leftists had played a central role in the coup, and despite
the appointment of two leftists as ministers, evidence suggests that the
coup was Daoud's alone. Officers personally loyal to him were placed in
key positions while young Parchamis were sent to the provinces, probably
to get them out of Kabul, until Daoud had purged the leftist officers by
the end of 1975.
The next year, Daoud established his own political party, the
National Revolutionary Party, which became the focus of all political
activity. In January 1977, a loyal jirgah approved Daoud's constitution
establishing a presidential, one party system of government.
Any resistance to the new regime was suppressed. A coup attempt by
Maiwandwal, which may have been planned before Daoud took power, was
subdued shortly after his coup. In October 1973, Maiwandwal, a former
prime minister and a highly respected former diplomat, died in prison at
a time when Parchamis controlled the Ministry of Interior under
circumstances corroborating the widespread belief that he had been
tortured to death.
While both of the PDPA's factions had attempted to collaborate with
Daoud before the 1973 coup, Parcham used its advantage to recruit on an
unprecedented scale immediately following the coup. Daoud, however, soon
made it clear that he was no front man and that he had not adopted the
claims of any ideological faction. He began in the first months of his
regime to ease Parcharmis out of his cabinet. Perhaps not to alienate
the Soviet Union, Daoud was careful to cite inefficiency and not
ideological reasons for the dismissals. Khalq, seeing an opportunity to
make some short-term gains at Parcham's expense, suggested to Daoud that
"honest" Khalqis replace corrupt Parchamis. Daoud, wary of ideologues,
ignored this offer.
Daoud's ties with the Soviet Union, like his relations with Afghan
communists, deteriorated during his five year presidency. This loosening
of ties with the Soviet Union was gradual. Daoud's shift to the right
and realignment made the Soviets anxious but western observers noted
that Daoud remained solicitous of Soviet interests and Afghanistan's
representative in the United Nations voted regularly with the Soviet
Bloc or with the group of nonaligned countries. The Soviets remained by
far Afghanistan's largest aid donor and were influential enough to
insist that no Western activity, economic or otherwise, be permitted in
northern Afghanistan.
Daoud still favored a state-centered economy, and, three years after
coming to power, he drew up an ambitious seven-year economic plan
(1976-83) that included major projects and required a substantial influx
of foreign aid. As early as 1974, Daoud began distancing himself from
over-reliance on the Soviet Union for military and economic support.
That same year, he formed a military training program with India, and
opened talks with Iran on economic development aid. Daoud also turned to
other oil-rich Muslim nations, such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Kuwait,
for financial assistance.
Pashtunistan zealots confidently expected the new president to raise
this issue with Pakistan, and in the first few months of the new regime,
bilateral relations were poor. Efforts by Iran and the United States to
cool a tense situation succeeded after a time, and by 1977 relations
between Pakistan and Afghanistan had notably improved. During Daoud's
March 1978 visit to Islamabad, an agreement was reached whereby
President Mohammad Zia ul-Haq of Pakistan released Pashtun and Baloch
militants from prison in exchange for Daoud withdrawing support for
these groups and expelling Pashtun and Baloch militants taking refuge in
Afghanistan.
Daoud's initial visit to the Soviet Union in 1974 was friendly,
despite disagreement on the Pashtunistan issue. By the time of Daoud's
second visit in April 1977, the Soviets knew of his purge of the left
begun in 1975, his removal of Soviet advisers from some Afghan military
units, and his changes in military training whereby other nations,
especially India and Egypt, trained Afghans with Soviet weapons. Despite
official goodwill, unofficial reports circulated of sharp Soviet
criticism of anticommunists in Daoud's new cabinet, of his failure to
cooperate with the PDPA, and of his criticism of Cuba's role in the
nonaligned movement. Furthermore, Daoud was friendly with Iran and Saudi
Arabia, and he had scheduled a visit to Washington for the spring of
1978.
By 1978 Daoud had achieved little of what he had set out to
accomplish. Despite good harvests in 1973 and subsequent years, no real
economic progress had been made, and the Afghan standard of living had
not improved. By the spring of 1978, he had alienated most key political
groups by gathering power into his own hands and refusing to tolerate
dissent. Although Muslim fundamentalists had been the object of
repression as early as 1974, their numbers had nonetheless increased.
Diehard Pashtunistan supporters were disillusioned with Daoud's
rapprochement with Pakistan, especially by what they regarded as his
commitment in the 1977 agreement not to aid Pashtun militants in
Pakistan.
Most ominous for Daoud were developments among Afghan communists. In
March 1977, despite reaching a fragile agreement on reunification,
Parcham and Khalq remained mutually suspicious. The military arms of
each faction were not coordinated because, by this time, Khalqi military
officers vastly outnumbered Parchami officers and feared the latter
might inform Daoud of this, raising his suspicion that a coup was
imminent. Although plans for a coup had long been discussed, according
to a statement by Hafizullah Amin, the April 1978 coup was implemented
about two years ahead of time.
The April 19, 1978, funeral for Mir Akbar Khyber, a prominent
Parchami ideologue who had been murdered, served as a rallying point for
Afghan communists. An estimated 10,000 to 30,000 persons gathered to
hear stirring speeches by Taraki and Karmal. Shocked by this
demonstration of communist unity, Daoud ordered the arrest of PDPA
leaders, but he reacted too slowly. It took him a week to arrest Taraki,
and Amin was merely placed under house arrest. According to later PDPA
writings, Amin sent complete orders for the coup from his home while it
was under armed guard using his family as messengers. The army had been
put on alert on April 26 because of a presumed "anti-Islamic" coup.
Given Daoud's repressive and suspicious mood, officers known to have
differed with Daoud, even those without PDPA ties or with only tenuous
connections to the communists, moved hastily to prevent their own
downfall.
On April 27, 1978, a coup d'état beginning with troop movements at
the military base at Kabul International Airport, gained ground slowly
over the next twenty-four hours as rebels battled units loyal to Daoud
in and around the capital. Daoud and most of his family were shot in the
presidential palace the following day. Two hundred and thirty-one years
of royal rule by Ahmad Shah and his descendants had ended, but it was
less clear what kind of regime had succeeded them.